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NBA·ANALYSIS·June 23, 2026 01:55 PM ET

Simmons sees 50/50 odds Jaylen Brown leaves Celtics after Giannis lands with Heat

Brown's Boston future suddenly in question.

Wire Report IntelligenceUpdated Jun 231 min read
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What happened: Boston came up empty in its pursuit of Giannis Antetokounmpo, who joined Miami late Monday after the Bucks took the Heat's package. The Celtics had reportedly dangled Jaylen Brown and two first-round picks for Antetokounmpo. Bill Simmons now puts the chances Brown is still on the roster in October at roughly 50/50.

Why it matters: Trading Brown would reshape a contender that leaned on him heavily while Jayson Tatum sat out most of the season. Boston had publicly insisted it was not shopping Brown, but Simmons argues the front office's willingness to discuss him at all marks a shift. The harder problem is finding a return that actually makes the roster better.

By the numbers: Brown posted career highs across the board this season at 28.7 points, 6.9 rebounds and 5.1 assists, earning second-team All-NBA while keeping Boston near the top of the East.

What to watch: Watch whether Boston actually moves Brown before camp opens, and whether any star markets — including talk around Anthony Edwards in Minnesota — open a path to a deal that upgrades the roster.

Sources

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NBAAnalysisBoston CelticsMiami HeatMilwaukee BucksAnthony EdwardsGiannis Antetokounmpo
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