What happened: Baltimore backed out of an agreed March trade after reviewing Maxx Crosby's physical. Dallas later climbed to 17% in the prediction market before retreating to 9%.
Why it matters: Crosby's public praise of Dak Prescott helped fuel the Cowboys' August rise. Las Vegas remains favored to retain its star edge rusher entering the 2026 season.
By the numbers: Stays with Las Vegas or retires: 70%. Dallas Cowboys: 9%. Chicago Bears: 6%. San Francisco 49ers: 5%. Market volume: more than $2.9 million.
What to watch: Watch for renewed trade talks or a further shift in the Dallas price as the season approaches.