ESPN FPI gives Dolphins 49% chance at No. 1 pick in 2027 draft

Fell 15-10 to Vikings on Oct. 5

Wire Report IntelligenceUpdated 59m1 min read

Our ESPN Football Power Index already forecasts the Dolphins having a 49% chance to have the 1st overall pick in the 202 Via @FieldYates on X

What happened: ESPN's Football Power Index lists Miami with a 49% chance to hold the first overall pick in the 2027 NFL Draft. The projection circulated Oct. 6 during the 2026 regular season.

Why it matters: Miami fell 15-10 to Minnesota on Oct. 5, shifting attention from standings to draft order. The Dolphins sit 32nd in one Week 5 power ranking while Achane resides on injured reserve.

By the numbers: FPI No. Last game: Vikings 15, Dolphins 10 on Oct. 5. Week 5 power rank: 32nd.

What to watch: Weekly FPI refreshes will move Miami's No. 1 pick odds with each result.

Sources

@FieldYates 2026-10-06T13:37:04.452869+00:00

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