What happened: Cincinnati Reds left-hander Nick Lodolo has emerged as a potential offseason trade candidate for the Tampa Bay Rays as they look to reset their pitching staff for 2027. Recent injuries and middling results in Cincinnati could create a buying opportunity for a pitcher with an established major-league track record. Any potential acquisition would hinge on Cincinnati's willingness to move him and the prospect return required.
Why it matters: Lodolo offers distinctive mechanical deception with a low-slot delivery and across-the-body arm action that disrupts hitter timing. His pitch-location consistency has remained above average throughout his career, though a July grip change coincided with reduced consistency on his breaking ball. Adjusting his repertoire—specifically leaning more heavily into his four-seam fastball against right-handed hitters—could unlock higher performance for an acquiring club.
By the numbers: Lodolo carries a projected $5.7 million salary for 2027. Against right-handed hitters, his four-seam fastball generated a 26.4% whiff rate and a .300 wOBA, substantially outperforming his two-seam fastball (14.4% whiff rate, .442 wOBA) across an overall 50% fastball usage rate.
What to watch: Front offices will monitor whether Cincinnati listens to trade inquiries for Lodolo as winter meetings approach. If acquired, Tampa Bay would likely evaluate adjustments to his pitch grips and fastball mix ahead of 2027 spring training.