What happened: Houston gets Nico Collins back from his hamstring injury for the matchup with Dallas. The Texans scored 31 in the game he played and averaged 11.5 points in the two he missed. Dallas has used 12 defensive backs in three games, which fits a defense still searching for answers.

Why it matters: Collins is not a luxury piece for Houston, he is the receiver who changes how the whole offense functions. He caught 71 passes for 1,117 yards and six touchdowns in 15 games in 2025, so this scoring swing looks like a real indicator, not a fluke.