Nix's opening-script QBR plunges amid Broncos' slow starts

Sean Payton took an increased play-calling role this week.

Wire Report IntelligenceUpdated 1h1 min read

Bo Nix first 15 plays:  2025: 63.0 QBR 2026: 21.9 QBR Via @danorlovsky7 on X

What happened: Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix is struggling significantly at the start of games this season, posting a 21.9 Total QBR on the team's first 15 plays. The 2026 figure marks a stark drop from Nix's 63.0 QBR on opening scripts in 2025, according to data shared by ESPN's Dan Orlovsky.

Why it matters: The early-game offensive malaise prompted systemic changes in Denver following a 24-14 loss to San Francisco. Head coach Sean Payton took an increased role in play-calling this week from offensive coordinator Davis Webb to repair the unit's output.

By the numbers: Nix entered the week ranked 22nd in the league with a 46.1 overall QBR. Denver was outscored 40-10 in the first half of games through the opening four weeks of the season.

What to watch: The adjusted offensive coaching structure takes effect as Denver attempts to reverse its trend of early-game deficits.

Sources

@DanOrlovsky7 2026-10-09T13:14:18.446545+00:00

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