What happened: trading data show Maxx Crosby's next-team market has tightened, with the Raiders' retention share at 63% implied probability, down from 74% a week earlier. The Philadelphia Eagles and San Francisco 49ers each sit at 5%, with Cleveland at 2%, Buffalo below 1% and Dallas unlisted.

Why it matters: The move follows reports of interest from Philadelphia and San Francisco on June 17, weeks after a March 4 trade agreement sending Crosby to the Baltimore Ravens collapsed. Crosby publicly committed to Las Vegas on March 6, tweeting "I'm a Raider," but the market is still pricing real relocation risk heading into training camp.

What to watch: Training camp injury reports league-wide are cited as the likely next trigger for further movement on the contract.