What happened: 's market has Josh Allen and Joe Burrow tied atop NFL MVP at 11% apiece entering Week 1, with Lamar Jackson third at 10% and Justin Herbert fourth at 9%. Quarterbacks fill all of the market's top spots, including Drake Maye (8%), Caleb Williams (7%), Patrick Mahomes (7%), Dak Prescott (7%), Matthew Stafford (7%) and Brock Purdy (5%).
Why it matters: Burrow is priced as a bounce-back candidate after turf toe cost him half of the 2025 season, while Jackson's odds reflect an offense loaded with weapons after a down year. Herbert's rise ties directly to the Chargers bringing in Mike McDaniel as offensive coordinator, and Allen's odds follow him being ranked the league's top quarterback by PFF earlier this year.
By the numbers: Burrow 11%, Jackson 10%, Herbert 9%, Maye 8%, Williams 7%, Mahomes 7%, Prescott 7%, Stafford 7%, Purdy 5%. Quarterbacks have won 49 of the NFL's MVP awards, with only Alan Page and Lawrence Taylor breaking the run as defensive winners since 1957.
What to watch: Watch how the odds shift once Week 1 results are in and early performances start moving the market.