What happened: An MLB.com analysis lays out why the Toronto Blue Jays are not expected to move pending free-agent starter Kevin Gausman before the trade deadline, even after a rough Friday outing against the Chicago Cubs. The reasoning centers on a bunched American League standings picture that keeps Toronto in the Wild Card race despite a sub-.500 record.

Why it matters: With the AL tightly packed, the Blue Jays remain close enough to contention that selling a frontline arm makes little sense, the analysis argues. Holding Gausman signals Toronto still views itself as a buyer-adjacent club rather than a deadline seller, a notable stance for a 37-39 team sitting third in the AL East a year after reaching the World Series.

By the numbers: Gausman owns a 4.04 ERA with 89 strikeouts and a 4-5 record across 16 starts this season. His Friday start against the Cubs was a low point: seven earned runs, seven hits and four walks against just three strikeouts. Toronto enters the weekend at 37-39, third in the AL East, with the season series against Chicago even at 1-1.

What to watch: Watch whether Gausman's next few starts stabilize his trade value and whether Toronto stays in the Wild Card mix as the deadline nears. Front-office posture could shift quickly if the Blue Jays fade in the standings.

Sources