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NFL·ANALYSIS·October 21, 2026 01:03 PM ET

Chargers post worst fourth-quarter EPA marks of NextGen era

0-6 with 13 turnovers and one game over 17 points

Wire Report IntelligenceUpdated 17h1 min read
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The Chargers are currently producing -0.57 EPA/Play and -0.61 EPA/Dropback in the 4th Quarter. Both are worst in the @Ne Via @BenFennell_NFL on X

What happened: Los Angeles sits 0-6 while averaging 16.8 points per game. The offense produced minus-31.6 total EPA against Kansas City in Week 6. Fourth-quarter dropbacks have produced minus-0.61 EPA per play.

Why it matters: Thirteen turnovers lead the NFL and have stalled drives before late-game situations. Only one outing has topped 17 points, leaving no margin when efficiency collapses in the fourth quarter. A last-place EPA profile at this level tightens scrutiny on protection, play-calling and personnel before the Nov. 10 deadline.

By the numbers: Fourth-quarter EPA per play: minus-0.57. Fourth-quarter EPA per dropback: minus-0.61. Week 6 total EPA vs. Kansas City: minus-31.6, 5,404th of 5,460 team games since 2016. Season: 16.8 points per game, 13 turnovers.

What to watch: Los Angeles must stabilize late-game dropback efficiency to stay competitive in the fourth quarter. Front-office direction ahead of the Nov. 10 deadline is the next marker.

Sources

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