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NBA·ANALYSIS·July 31, 2026 07:23 PM ET

Curry market gives Warriors 94% chance to keep him

His contract expires after the 2026-27 season.

Wire Report IntelligenceUpdated Jul 311 min read
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What happened: Charlotte carries a 2% price, while Miami remains a hypothetical destination after acquiring Giannis Antetokounmpo and moving Tyler Herro. Curry has shown no sign of seeking an exit.

Why it matters: Golden State controls nearly all its first-round picks through 2033, preserving flexibility to retool around Curry. Miami has surfaced in recent destination chatter, but the Giannis deal depleted the draft capital needed for another blockbuster offer.

By the numbers: A 94% stay price leaves 6% across all departure outcomes; Charlotte's 2% represents one-third of that total. Curry is due $62.6 million in 2026-27.

What to watch: Curry becomes eligible Aug. 29 for a two-year, $136.7 million extension, making contract talks the next concrete checkpoint.

Sources

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