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NFL·ANALYSIS·October 7, 2026 09:31 AM ET

Jaguars weigh Brian Thomas Jr. trade case as role shrinks

Snap share at 47.3% with one deep target

Wire Report IntelligenceUpdated 1h1 min read
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What happened: Through four weeks of his third season, Brian Thomas Jr. has played 47.3% of Jacksonville offensive snaps, down from 80% as a rookie and 78% last year. He has one target of 20-plus air yards after 30 as a rookie and 23 last year, with yards per target sliding from 9.6 to 7.8 to 7.0.

Why it matters: Rookie-contract control keeps return value intact for a buyer while offering Jacksonville a chance to recoup a Day 2 pick before further decline. A move would shift snaps to Josh Cameron and CJ Williams, draftees of the current regime. The Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Rams, New England Patriots and San Francisco 49ers entered the discussion needing receiver depth.

By the numbers: Snap share: 80% as rookie, 78% in 2025, 47.3% through four weeks in 2026. Deep targets: 30 as rookie, 23 last year, 1 this season. Yards per target: 9.6 to 7.8 to 7.0. 2025: 48 catches for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns in 14 games.

What to watch: Jacksonville's snap split and deep-target rate in coming weeks will show whether the role rebounds or deadline talk hardens.

Sources

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NFLAnalysisJacksonville JaguarsKansas City ChiefsLos Angeles RamsBrian Thomas Jr.Josh Cameron
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