Machado robbed of game-tying hit on drive with .960 expected average

The 406-foot blast was caught to preserve a Game 4 lead.

Wire Report IntelligenceUpdated 1h1 min read

For Manny Machado, the expected batting average on that blast was .960, per @MLBStats. .960! @MLBNetwork Via @jonmorosi on X

What happened: Manny Machado lined out in the eighth inning on a drive that carried a .960 expected batting average. The 406-foot blast was caught in center field to end the threat.

Why it matters: The catch preserved a narrow lead in Game 4 of the NLDS. It prevented a late game-tying run in a series-changing postseason moment.

By the numbers: The line drive left the bat at 106.7 mph and would have been a home run in 19 of 30 major league stadiums.

What to watch: The narrow lead holds as the elimination contest concludes.

Sources

@jonmorosi 2026-10-09T17:48:33.192087+00:00

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