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MLB·ANALYSIS·October 9, 2026 02:11 PM ET

Manny Machado records out on drive with .960 expected batting average

The drive would have been a home run in most MLB stadiums.

Wire Report IntelligenceUpdated 1h1 min read
Post on X
Would have been a HR in a majority of @MLB stadiums, too. Via @jonmorosi on X

What happened: Manny Machado hit a line drive that carried an expected batting average of .960 but resulted in an out. Data indicated the ball would have cleared the fence in a majority of major league stadiums.

Why it matters: The eighth-inning contact was caught in center field, denying a game-tying home run in Game 4 of the NLDS. The play preserved a narrow lead late in the postseason contest.

By the numbers: The batted ball traveled 406 feet with an exit velocity of 106.7 mph.

What to watch: The series progresses following the decisive late-inning play.

Sources

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