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MLB·PREVIEW·September 15, 2026 07:23 AM ET

MLB playoff races tighten with two weeks left

White Sox jumped 8.8 points in one playoff model

Wire Report IntelligenceUpdated Sep 151 min read
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What happened: Several postseason spots remain in play across MLB with roughly two weeks left in the regular season. One social playoff-probability update listed the White Sox as the biggest mover at plus-8.8 percentage points, while the Blue Jays fell 6.1 points and the Guardians dropped 5.4.

Why it matters: The late swings matter more now because there is little room left to recover from a bad series. The field is still shifting even after the Dodgers clinched for a 14th straight season and the Yankees also locked up a postseason berth.

By the numbers: White Sox: +8.8 percentage points in playoff probability. Blue Jays: -6.1 points. Guardians: -5.4 points. Dodgers: postseason berth clinched for a 14th straight season.

What to watch: Watch the next few series for separation in the division and wild-card chases. Daily probability swings should stay sharp until more spots are clinched.

Sources

  • MLB.com 
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