What happened
NFL analyst Phil Schrager (@PSchrags) gave the Dallas Cowboys an early top grade for their 2026 NFL Draft selection of safety Caleb Downs. Schrager declared on SportsCenter that Dallas has already won the draft with the move. Downs, a standout from Ohio State, was viewed as one of the top defensive back prospects available.
Why it matters
The Cowboys' secondary struggled in the 2025 season, allowing high completion percentages and big plays. Downs brings elite ball skills and tackling prowess, potentially transforming Dallas' defense. This pick bolsters their playoff push amid +5000 Super Bowl futures entering the draft.
The data edge
Cowboys 2025 record: 9-8 (missed playoffs). Downs college stats (2023-25): 142 tackles, 8 INTs, 4.45 40-yard dash. Draft position: Cowboys selected at No. 14 overall (no trade-up reported). No betting line movements tied to this pick yet.
What to watch
Watch Cowboys' next selections in Rounds 2-3 for offensive line help. Monitor Downs' rookie contract details and minicamp integration.