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NFL·ANALYSIS·November 2, 2026 11:23 AM ET

Broncos division title odds jump to 64% after 28-24 win

In-game win probability had fallen to 11.2% Sunday.

Wire Report IntelligenceUpdated 38m1 min read
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What happened: Denver's chances of winning the AFC West rose to 64% following a 28-24 victory Sunday, according to NextGenStats. The model calculated that Denver's in-game win probability dipped to 11.2% before the comeback. A defeat would have dropped the team's division projection to 24%.

Why it matters: The victory improves Denver to 6-2 on a four-game winning streak and solidifies the No. 2 seed in the AFC. The 40-percentage-point swing establishes Denver as the statistical frontrunner in the AFC West entering the second half of the regular season.

By the numbers: Denver Broncos: 6-2 record (Streak: W4, AFC Seed: 2) | NextGenStats AFC West 64% (24% with loss) | In-game win probability low: 11.2%

What to watch: Denver looks to protect its division advantage as the regular season moves into the second half.

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